I never compute returns. If you start forecasting cash flows, you lose innovation, you lose instinct. You leverage yourself down to mediocrity.Are you betting on black swans? If not, how are you going to find them?
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I am working on an NLP technology. It's a second attempt. Black swans have fat tails. Read you interview with Tom Anderson. Does it make what I do a 90% failure rate ideal target for Vinod Khosla, given the fact that I admire now sold Sun since I've been 14 years old?
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